College Football Picks Week 6
Week 1: +1.82 units
Week 2: +9.9 units
Week 3: +5.37 units
Week 4: +12.84 units
Week 5: +5.54 units
Last week was solid once again, with the highlight being Tulsa beating UCF. Hitting Tulsa ML ensured I finished the week in the green for the fifth week in a row.
Florida Atlantic @ Southern Mississippi
I’m not sure there’s a more undervalued team in college football than the Florida Atlantic Owls. They were a little shaky last week against Charlotte, but return the core of a team that was a fringe top 25 time last year. Southern Miss is a dumpster fire who has already fired their coach this year, I like the Owls here.
Florida Atlantic -2.5 -110 (3 units)
UTSA @ BYU
BYU has shattered all preseason expectations, scoring nearly 50 points a game in 3 blowout wins. UTSA lost for the first time last week, but still looks like an improved team from last year. I know BYU has an explosive offense, but 34.5 is a massive spread and I think the Roadrunners have enough quality on defense to cover.
UTSA +35 -110 (2 units)
Texas State @ Troy
This is the second time in as many games I’m picking Texas State. The Bobcats are much improved over last year, there are at least a dozen teams playing in FBS worse than them. Troy is breaking in a new offense, and I’m not convinced by their win over a horrid MTSU team. I think Texas State is worth a small bet here.
Texas State +8.5 -110 (2 units)
Texas State ML +235 (0.5 units)
Charlotte @ North Texas
Charlotte is off to an 0-2 start, but they’ve played two of the toughest teams in the Group of Five. Will Healy’s squad is significantly improved from last year’s squad, and by my numbers is the 4th best team in CUSA. North Texas’ defense is a complete mess, I like the 49ers here in a high scoring affair.
Charlotte -3 -110 (2 units)
LSU @ Missouri
This is a weird game, as it got moved from Baton Rouge to Columbia due to the hurricane in Louisiana. I think there’s been a bit of an overreaction to LSU thus far. Their defense is clearly not great, but Missouri has shown absolutely nothing thus far indicating that they’re capable of hanging with LSU.
LSU -14 -110 (1 unit)