College Football Picks Week 10

Week 1: +1.82 units

Week 2: +9.9 units

Week 3: +5.37 units

Week 4: +12.84 units

Week 5: +5.54 units

Week 6: +0.14 units

Week 7: -3.6 units

Week 8: -4.13 units

Week 9: -1.01 units

Season: +26.87 units

Another underwhelming week despite hitting Michigan State ML at +1300. I won on Michigan State and Kentucky, but lost on Air Force and Charlotte among others.

Fresno State @ UNLV

UNLV has gotten off to a bad start, losing blowouts to Nevada and San Diego State. Still, I would’ve made this line UNLV -5 before the season and I don’t think they’ve performed far enough below expectations to justify moving this line 16 points. Fresno State is the better team for sure, but I think UNLV can cover here.

UNLV +11 -109 (2 units)

UNLV ML +310 (0.5 units)

Western Kentucky @ Florida Atlantic

Few teams have been as ravaged by COVID as FAU, and they’ve still only played 3 games this year. However, their defense has performed very well in all 3 and I think they’re the second best team in CUSA. WKU is yet to win a game convincingly this year, this line should be closer to two touchdowns.

Florida Atlantic -6.5 -114 (2 units)

Troy @ Georgia Southern

Both of these teams look to be among the better teams in the Sun Belt and are likely to head to a bowl. I think they’re pretty even this year, and I’m surprised that the Eagles are a mild underdog here, I think that their defense is among the best in the G5.

Georgia Southern +3.5 -112 (1 unit)

Liberty @ Virginia Tech

Liberty is undefeated and this year’s team looks like the best in their short history. Virginia Tech has stumbled a bit out of the gate, dropping a surprising game to Wake Forest a few weeks ago and Justin Fuente looks to be in some danger of getting fired. Liberty is a hard team to pin down given how weak their schedule has been thus far, but I think this line should be closer to single digits.

Liberty +16.5 -109 (1 unit)

SMU @ Temple

Temple was playing fine all season before getting blown out by Tulane last week. I think this line is a bit of an overreaction to that- the Owls are still a mid-tier team in the conference. SMU, meanwhile, is not as good as their top 25 ranking would suggest.

Temple +17.5 -108 (1 unit)