2023-24 Preseason Bracketology

It may still be October, but the college basketball season is less than a week away. That means it’s preseason bracketology time. The preseason bracket is a bit of a crapshoot- we have a pretty good idea as to who the top 20 or so teams are, but after the first few seed lines things will change a lot between now and March.

Here are some stats on last year’s preseason bracket to give you a guide as to what to expect this year:

-Of my top 16 teams (1-4 seeds) in the preseason last year, 15 of them made the tournament. North Carolina was the only exception. 10 of the 16 ultimately received top 4 seeds and the other 5 received top 8 seeds.

-Of my remaining at-large teams (5-11 seeds) in the preseason last year, around half (15/31) ended up making the tournament.

-Almost every team that got a high seed was on my preseason radar. All the teams that ended up as top 6 seeds were in my preseason bracket except Marquette (2 seed), Kansas State (3 seed), St. Mary’s (5 seed) and Iowa State (6 seed).

With that preamble out of the way, here are my preseason projections. My next update will come in late November, likely after the Thanksgiving tournaments.