College Football Picks Week 5

Win Totals: 0 units

Week 0: -2.5 units

Week 1: +10.4 units

Week 2: -14.74 units

Week 3: -18.27 units

Week 4: +4.89 units

Season Total: -20.22 units

I had a nice recovery last week to claw back some of the losses from the previous two weeks. As we head into conference play, I’ll most likely be betting fewer games each week.

Troy @ South Carolina (Saturday, 2:30 PM Central)

South Carolina pulled off a nice win against East Carolina in week 2 but has been very poor since then. They got predictably rocked by Georgia two weeks ago, and then were dismantled by Kentucky last week. The final score doesn’t do the game justice, they barely cleared 4 yards per play against an average Kentucky team. Troy lost to ULM as a 24 point favorite last week but outgained the Warhawks, and they looked good before that.

Troy +7 -110 (2 units)

Troy ML +220 (1 unit)

Oklahoma @ Kansas State (Saturday, 2:30 PM Central)

I won a lot of money on this game last year as I had Kansas State +28 and Kansas State ML +1500 for my biggest single game win of the year. This year, however, I am switching my tune and going with the Sooners. I still think Oklahoma’s offense is solid, Spencer Rattler’s underlying statistics remain solid even if the big plays have disappeared. K-State got wrecked by Oklahoma State last week, their run game was horrible as they kept running ineffectively on 1st and 10 leading to obvious passing downs. People forget the Wildcats barely snuck by Southern Illinois, I like Oklahoma to run up the score here.

Oklahoma -10.5 -110 (2 units)

Washington @ Oregon State (Saturday, 8:00 PM Central)

Few teams have been bigger surprises this year than Oregon State. Their offense is borderline top 10 and was electric last week against USC, notching 5 consecutive touchdown drives. I am still not sold on Washington and won betting against them last week when they played Cal. Oregon State is a team to monitor this year and if they win this game they’ll probably crack the top 25 in my ratings for the first time in nearly a decade.

Oregon State -2.5 -110 (1 unit)

Ohio State @ Rutgers (Saturday, 2:30 PM Central)

I was bullish on Rutgers in the preseason and it has paid off as they are putting together their best year since their inaugural Big Ten season in 2014. They went on the road to Michigan last week and could’ve won if not for 3 missed fourth downs and a missed field goal. Ohio State’s defense has been questionable and the early game with Minnesota looks much worse after the Golden Gophers laid an egg against Bowling Green. Rutgers will keep this competitive.

Rutgers +15 -110 (1 unit)