College Football Picks Week 3 2022
Week 0: -1.5 units
Week 1: -14.93 units
Week 2: +5.87 units
2022 Total: -10.56 units
Last week was a nice bounce back from week 1. I was particularly happy to hit Kansas ML +380 against West Virginia, as that’s a big help for my Kansas over 2.5 wins ticket as well.
Western Kentucky @ Indiana (Saturday, 11 AM Central)
I highlighted Western Kentucky as one of my Group of Five teams to watch in my preseason preview. They’re off to a 2-0 start with wins over two truly bad teams. Indiana, meanwhile, struggled to get past an awful Idaho team last week. These two teams played at WKU last year and I was in attendance, the Hilltoppers far outplayed the Hoosiers and were very unlucky to loes. Indiana might be the worst team in the Big Ten and should not be a touchdown favorite here.
Western Kentucky +7 +100 (4 units)
Western Kentucky ML +200 (1 unit)
Ole Miss @ Georgia Tech (Saturday, 2:30 PM Central)
Ole Miss has not been challenged in two easy wins against outmatched opponents. We also haven’t learned much about Georgia Tech as they played one FCS team and Clemson. I think that the Yellow Jackets are one of the worst teams in the Power Five and will likely be betting against them quite a bit in the coming weeks. They’re the least talented team in the ACC (aside from maybe Duke) and were absolutely horrible down the stretch last year. I think Ole Miss will win easily here.
Ole Miss -14.5 -110 (3 units)
BYU @ Oregon (Saturday, 2:30 PM Central)
BYU has been very impressive so far this season, destroying South Florida and beating a good Baylor team last week. The Cougars are up to 12th in the AP Poll and 9th in my ratings, and I think they have a great chance at the playoff if they win out. Oregon’s talent deficiencies were exposed in their week 1 drubbing at the hands of Georgia. Oregon’s lines are strong but their skill position talent is awful. BYU has the more experienced team and probably the more talented one as well.
BYU +3.5 -110 (3 units)
Rutgers @ Temple (Saturday, 1 PM Central)
There’s no sugarcoating it, Temple is really bad. I bet on the Owls in week 1 against Duke and they really disappointed me as they lost 30-0. In the preseason I would’ve thought this game would be a tossup, but Temple has been horrible and Rutgers has been surprisingly decent. However, I think this line is an overreaction. Rutgers does have a pulse this year but you could count on one hand the number of FBS teams that they should be a 17.5 point road favorite against. Temple is bad, but Rutgers is simply getting too many points here.
Temple +17.5 -110 (2 units)
Temple ML +625 (1 unit)
Fresno State @ USC (Saturday, 9:30 PM Central)
I have a lot of short exposure to USC already between their win total (under 9.5) as well as various individual game bets. I’d be lying if I didn’t say I was getting a bit worried as the Trojans have been quite impressive through two games. However, I think that might end here as Fresno State has a phenomenal QB in Jake Haener and he’s surrounded by one of the best rosters in the Group of Five. This game is going to be a track meet (the total is a whopping 74) but I think Fresno can trade punches with USC for long enough to hang in there.
Fresno State +13.5 -110 (2 units)
Fresno State ML +380 (1 unit)
South Florida @ Florida (Saturday, 6:30 PM Central)
Florida came back down to earth last week against Kentucky, losing by 10 as a 7 point favorite. Their offense never really got out of first gear and prized QB Anthony Richardson threw a brutal pick six. I don’t doubt that the Gators have plenty of talent on the roster but they’re still pretty young and coach Billy Napier has been blunt about the fact that it’ll take some time for the pieces to come together. South Florida won’t come close to winning this game but they can hang in there enough to cover this spread.
South Florida +24.5 -110 (2 units)
Western Kentucky ML/Temple ML +2075 (0.2 units)
Western Kentucky ML/Fresno State ML +1364 (0.2 units)
Temple ML/Fresno State ML +3380 (0.2 units)
Western Kentucky ML/Temple ML/Fresno State ML +10514 (0.1 units)