College Football Picks Week 12 2022
Last week was a mixed bag. Boston College won outright as a +750 underdog which was fantastic. However, there was some bad luck in the other games. South Florida lost by 18 as a +17.5 underdog after electing to go for 2 down 18. Louisville QB Malik Cunningham got injured and the Cardinals were not competitive with Clemson once he went down.
In addition to the bets below, I also have 2 units on UCLA +3.5 against USC this weekend, which I bet in the preseason.
Preseason: +1.88 units
Week 0: -1.5 units
Week 1: -12.86 units
Week 2: +5.87 units
Week 3: +1.66 units
Week 4: +5.44 units
Week 5: +4.14 units
Week 6: -0.96 units
Week 7: -4.47 units
Week 8: -2.27 units
Week 9: -0.55 units
Week 10: +9.36 units
Week 11: -0.72 units
2022 Total: +5.02 units
Duke @ Pittsburgh (Saturday, 11 AM Central)
Duke is having a fantastic season- I thought they had almost no shot at a bowl, but they’re 7-3 and will make a bowl easily in Mike Elko’s first year. However, I still think the talent level on their roster is pretty poor compared to Pitt’s. The Panthers’ defense has really stepped up in recent weeks and their OT loss to Tennessee looks better and better as the season goes along. I think that these teams are still in pretty different weight classes.
Pittsburgh -7.5 -110 (3 units)
Kansas State @ West Virginia (Saturday, 1 PM Central)
Kansas State has had a very weird few weeks. They’ve shown flashes of being a top 5 team with blowout wins over Kansas State and Baylor, but have also lost close games to TCU and Texas. In total, they look like a top 10 team. West Virginia just fired their AD and it seems very likely that head coach Neal Brown’s time in Morgantown is coming to an end. Even in their wins, the Mountaineers defense has been porous and the K-State rushing attack will have their way here.
Kansas State -7 -110 (2 units)
Cincinnati @ Temple (Saturday, 3 PM Central)
Cincinnati has had a weird season- everyone forgot about them after they lost to Arkansas in week 1. They’re now 8-2, but they’ve performed quite poorly against the spread and haven’t dominated the bad teams they’ve played. Temple proved in their win over USF that they’re far from the bottom of the AAC and I think they can keep this within two touchdowns.
Temple +17.5 -110 (1 unit)
Virginia Tech @ Liberty (Saturday, 11 AM Central)
Liberty had a chance to break into the CFP top 25 for the first time in program history but lost as a 14 point favorite to UConn last week. However, for maybe the first time in the history of college football, UConn may be a better team than Virginia Tech. The Hokies have been downright awful this year and got blown off the field by Duke last week. Liberty should roll here.
Liberty -9.5 -110 (1 unit)