College Football Picks Week 12

Week 1: +1.82 units

Week 2: +9.9 units

Week 3: +5.37 units

Week 4: +12.84 units

Week 5: +5.54 units

Week 6: +0.14 units

Week 7: -3.60 units

Week 8: -4.13 units

Week 9: -1.01 units

Week 10: -3.68 units

Week 11: +3.41 units

Season: +26.60 units

Last week was my first winning week in a while, and it went quite smoothly as most of my picks covered easily. Kent State, FAU and Wisconsin all covered easily against Bowling Green, FIU and Michigan. I lost only on Cal -3 against UCLA.

Syracuse @ Louisville

Both of these teams only have 1 win in the ACC so far this year, which makes me a bit surprised to see this line as big as it is. Louisville certainly has deserved to win more games than they did, but Syracuse has improved a bit in recent weeks, and I think there’s some distance between them and the bottom of the league.

Syracuse +18 -108 (2 units)

Syracuse ML +600 (0.5 units)

UNLV @ Colorado State

UNLV has been bad so far this year, getting off to an 0-4 start. Still, they’ve played four of the best teams in the league thus far, and are likely better than their record suggests. Colorado State’s defense has been all over the place this year, and I think UNLV can keep this game close.

UNLV +16.5 -114 (1 unit)

USC @ Utah

Utah is the only team that was supposed to have played a game by now yet hasn’t, with both of their first two games getting cancelled due to COVID. USC, on the other hand, has eked out 2 close wins against inferior teams. I think these teams are pretty close to even for tops in the Pac-12 South, and think it should be close to a pick’em.

Utah +3.5 -117 (1 unit)

Kentucky @ Alabama

Alabama is undoubtedly one of the top two or three teams in the country, while Kentucky has slid a bit in recent weeks. This line is as large as it is thanks to Alabama’s explosive offense which has put up 38 points in every game so far. Still, Kentucky has a solid defense and slows down the pace of games to the point that I like them as 30+ point underdogs.

Kentucky +31 -113 (1 unit)

Purdue @ Minnesota

The air has come out of Minnesota’s team quickly, as they’re off to a 1-3 start after being ranked in the preseason. I think this is a bit overblown though- the Golden Gophers still have more talent than Purdue, The Boilermakers squeaked by Illinois, and while their win over Iowa is certainly nice, it was pretty fluky.

Minnesota +3 -110 (1 unit)