Men’s Bracketology 3/9/2024

Here’s my late Saturday night update of my seed list. I’ll give the full seed list a full run-through on Sunday or Monday, but I wanted to get a seed list out there after all of Saturday’s bubble action.

If the tournament started today I would feel quite good about the 68 teams I have in the field. Obviously a lot can change in the next week, but I think the gap between Xavier and Nebraska for the last spot is pretty clear right now.

The bubble is also starting to thin out a bit. Some of our long shot bubble contenders (Cincinnati, SMU) have played their way out of contention. I am pretty hard pressed to think any team outside of my first four out has more than a 10% chance at a bid.

1: Auburn, Duke, Houston, Florida

2: Alabama, Tennessee, Michigan State, St. John’s

3: Kentucky, Texas A&M, Wisconsin, Texas Tech

4: Iowa State, Clemson, Maryland, Purdue

5: Oregon, St. Mary’s, Arizona, Michigan

6: Louisville, UCLA, Missouri, Memphis

7: Illinois, Kansas, Ole Miss, Marquette

8: BYU, Mississippi State, Gonzaga, Connecticut

9: Creighton, Georgia, New Mexico, West Virginia

10: Vanderbilt, Baylor, Utah State, San Diego State

11: Arkansas, (Oklahoma/Indiana), Drake, VCU

12: UC San Diego, (Ohio State/Xavier), McNeese, Liberty

13: High Point, Yale, Akron, Lipscomb

14: Arkansas State, Utah Valley, UNC Wilmington, Northern Colorado

15: Central Connecticut State, Norfolk State, Robert Morris, Omaha

16: Wofford, Southern, (Quinnipiac/SIUE), (Bryant/Bucknell)

First Four Out: Nebraska, North Carolina, Boise State, Colorado State

Next Four Out: Wake Forest, Texas, Dayton, San Francisco

Moving In: Xavier, Wofford, Omaha, SIUE

Moving Out: Boise State, UNC Greensboro, South Dakota State, Southeast Missouri State

Removed from Consideration: Cincinnati, SMU