Bracketology 3/10/2023

Penn State and Utah State have been two of the biggest risers on the bubble in recent weeks and they continued that trend yesterday with big wins over Illinois and New Mexico, respectively. I’d be pretty surprised to see either team miss the field now, and Utah State’s metrics are good enough that they could be favored to win their 7/10 or 6/11 matchup.

All of the teams in my first four out have been eliminated from their conference tournaments. Of the teams on the outside looking in, just Vanderbilt, North Texas and Clemson are still playing and all have significant work to do still.

1: Kansas, Alabama, Houston, Purdue

2: UCLA, Texas, Baylor, Arizona

3: Gonzaga, Kansas State, Marquette, Connecticut

4: Tennessee, Xavier, Indiana, Virginia

5: Miami (FL), San Diego State, Iowa State, St. Mary’s

6: TCU, Texas A&M, Kentucky, Duke

7: Michigan State, Creighton, Northwestern, Missouri

8: Florida Atlantic, Arkansas, Maryland, Iowa

9: Auburn, Memphis, West Virginia, Illinois

10: Boise State, USC, Providence, Utah State

11: Penn State, NC State, (Mississippi State/Rutgers), (Arizona State/Nevada)

12: Charleston, Oral Roberts, Drake, Sam Houston State

13: VCU, Toledo, Louisiana, Yale

14: Iona, Furman, Kennesaw State, UC Irvine

15: Colgate, Montana State, UNC Asheville, Vermont

16: Grambling State, Northern Kentucky, (Howard/Texas A&M CC), (SE Missouri State/Fairleigh Dickinson)

First Four Out: Oklahoma State, Pittsburgh, North Carolina, Wisconsin

Next Four Out: Michigan, Vanderbilt, North Texas, Clemson

Moving In: None

Moving Out: None

Bids by Conference:

Big Ten: 9

SEC: 8

Big 12: 7

Big East: 5

ACC: 4

Mountain West: 4

Pac-12: 4

American: 2

West Coast: 2