College Football Ratings 2022 Wrap-Up
It’s been a month since Georgia demolished TCU for the national championship, the end to a thrilling college football season. We had great rivalry games like Michigan/Ohio State and Alabama/LSU, great Cinderella stories like TCU and Tulane, and great players like Caleb Williams and Max Duggan. It’s time to see how my model sees the state of college football at the end of a wild 2022 season.
Picks Summary
I finished the season +9.31 units with 235.5 units bet, capped off by a nice bowl season where I won 6 units. I’m very happy to have finished in the black. After a disastrous week 1, I thought I was going to be headed for a second straight season in the red but things really turned around in the second half of the year. 2022 marked my fifth season of tracking all my picks, here are my all-time college football betting results:
2018: -5.88 units
2019: +30.71 units
2020: +34.36 units
2021: -34.75 units
2022: +9.31 units
Total: +33.75 units
Top 25
1. Georgia
2. Alabama (+3)
3. LSU (+5)
4. Ohio State (-1)
5. Penn State (-1)
6. Tennessee (+3)
7. Michigan (-5)
8. Texas (-2)
9. Florida State (-2)
10. Oregon State (+4)
11. Utah
12. Clemson (+1)
13. TCU (+2)
14. Mississippi State (+7)
15. Washington (+4)
16. Illinois (-4)
17. Ole Miss (+9)
18. Oregon
19. Notre Dame (-3)
20. Tulane (+5)
21. Kansas State (-11)
22. Louisville (+9)
23. UCLA (+13)
24. Texas A&M (+5)
25. Pittsburgh (-8)
Georgia finished the season not just first, but extremely far ahead of the rest of the pack. I would make the Bulldogs about a -190 moneyline favorite against Alabama in a hypothetical matchup. LSU has been a darling of my system all season and after a dominant 63-7 win over Purdue in the Citrus Bowl, they finish the season 3rd in my system, far higher than you’ll find them anywhere else. TCU rocketed up to 6th after beating Michigan in the Fiesta Bowl before crashing back down to earth after getting trashed by Georgia in the title game.
Moving Up
Fresno State (64th —> 44th) got off to a rocky 1-4 start to the season but finished with 9 wins in a row, sending out star senior QB Jake Haener in style with a dominant win over Washington State in the LA Bowl. Western Kentucky (86th —> 66th) has a star QB in their own in gunslinger Austin Reed. Reed will be coming back to WKU next year after leading the ‘Tops to a huge upset win over South Alabama in the New Orleans Bowl. Arkansas (40th —> 29th) had another good season in Sam Pittman’s 3rd season in Fayetteville, going 7-6 with a thrilling win over Kansas to cap the season.
Moving Down
Cincinnati (41st —> 54th) was shellacked by Louisville in the Fenway Bowl and their season kind of fell off the rails after their AAC title hopes were derailed after a loss to Tulane. Florida (27th —> 38th) nearly failed to score a point against Oregon State in the Las Vegas Bowl and must now face life without Anthony Richardson next year. Kansas State (10th —> 21st) went up a weight class when they faced Alabama in the Sugar Bowl and it showed in a 45-20 defeat that was not as close as the score indicated.