College Football Picks Week 9 2022
Last week was tough, as I whiffed really badly on Purdue. Cincinnati was winning all game, but SMU got an unfortunate backdoor cover as they scored a touchdown and missed the two point conversion down 8. Syracuse covered easily and looked to have a shot at winning outright before some late penalties did them in.
Preseason: +0.48 units
Week 0: -1.5 units
Week 1: -12.86 units
Week 2: +5.87 units
Week 3: +1.66 units
Week 4: +5.44 units
Week 5: +4.14 units
Week 6: -0.96 units
Week 7: -4.47 units
Week 8: -2.27 units
2022 Total: -4.47 units
East Carolina @ BYU (Friday, 6 PM Central)
These are two teams whose seasons are moving in opposite directions. East Carolina’s season was looking a bit shaky after a weird loss to Navy, but they got a big over UCF last week and are looking to get back in the AAC title chase. BYU has been horrible the last few weeks, highlighted by a blowout loss to Liberty last week. I think East Carolina is the better team and should be favored here.
East Carolina +3.5 -110 (4 units)
San Diego State @ Fresno State (Saturday, 9:30 PM Central)
San Diego State finished last year ranked, and while they were expected to regress last year, I don’t think anyone expected this. The Aztecs are a sub-100 team who won’t even sniff a bowl this year. Fresno State has been a bit disappointing this year as well but I don’t think the market realizes just how bad this San Diego State team is.
Fresno State -7.5 -110 (3 units)
Coastal Carolina @ Marshall (Saturday, 6 PM Central)
Coastal Carolina has had a weird year where their record is quite good but they have some close wins against bad teams. Marshall has had quite an up-and-down year themselves with a win over Notre Dame in South Bend and a loss to a mediocre Bowling Green team. I think people give too much weight to Coastal Carolina’s record, which is a bit of a sham. Marshall is the marginally better team.
Marshall -1.5 -110 (2 units)
Oregon @ California (Saturday, 2:30 PM Central)
Oregon has been hugely impressive since their week 1 demolition at the hands of Georgia. Bo Nix and the Ducks offense looked pretty much unstoppable last week against UCLA and the Ducks have to be considered the favorites to win the Pac-12 now. Cal, meanwhile, has been even worse than predicted this year with a horrible loss to Colorado a few weeks ago being the icing on the cake.
Oregon -14.5 -110 (2 units)
Arkansas @ Auburn (Saturday, 11 AM Central)
I had decently high expectations for Arkansas in the preseason but they’ve failed to meet them. The Razorbacks are headed for a 6-6 type season, which is perfectly fine for them, but not as good as the top 10 heights they reached at times last year. Auburn is 3-4 but has played a brutal schedule featuring trips to Ole Miss and Georgia. Auburn is such a mess behind the scenes and because of that I don’t think people realize the product on the field is pretty decent, just the victims of a tough schedule.
Auburn +4.5 -110 (1 unit)