College Football Picks Week 6 2022
Last week was solid once again, led by Illinois destroying Wisconsin, covering +7 and hitting +225 on the moneyline as well. The Fighting Illini are one of the biggest surprises of the season and are up to 33rd in my ratings, their highest perch in many years.
Preseason: +1.48 units
Week 0: -1.5 units
Week 1: -12.86 units
Week 2: +5.87 units
Week 3: +1.66 units
Week 4: +5.44 units
Week 5: +4.14 units
2022 Total: +4.23 units
Connecticut @ Florida International (Saturday, 6 PM)
This game features one of FBS’ bottom teams (UConn) against maybe the absolute worst (FIU). UConn has been a favorite against an FBS team only twice in the last five years, both against similarly inept UMass. They are nearly a touchdown favorite here. I quite like the Huskies at that price- they’ve shown major improvement this year, with a massive upset win over Fresno State last week. FIU, meanwhile, barely beat a bad FCS team (Bryant) in week 1. I think UConn will roll here.
Connecticut -4.5 -110 (4 units)
Clemson @ Boston College (Saturday, 6:30 PM)
I’ve been low on Clemson all year and bet heavily against them in the preseason. The Tigers have yet to really impress me so far this year, they needed some timely turnovers to beat NC State and they scraped past a mediocre Wake Forest team. I had written Boston College off for dead earlier in the season but they scored a shock win over Louisville last week. BC is not a good team, but they have a real quarterback in Phil Jurkovec and I think Clemson is still massively overvalued.
Boston College +20 -105 (3 units)
Boston College ML +850 (0.5 units)
Tennessee @ LSU (Saturday, 11 AM)
This is a huge game in the SEC. If Tennessee wins, they’ll stay in the top 10 and it’ll set up the biggest Tennessee/Alabama game of the century next week. I’ve been high on LSU all season though and will be betting on them here- the Tigers lost a fluky game to a good Florida State team in week 1 and beat the snot out of a top 25 Mississippi State team. Last weekend’s close shave with Auburn gives me some hesitation but I don’t think there’s a ton separating these two teams.
LSU +3.5 -110 (2 units)
Oregon @ Arizona (Saturday, 8 PM)
Arizona has been a pleasant surprise this year, they were a combined 1-16 in 2020 and 2021 and are off to a 3-2 start in 2022. They are no longer the worst team in the Pac-12, that title belongs to an absolutely horrible Colorado team. However, I think people have gotten a little ahead of themselves with the Wildcats. The talent level on their roster is still not up to par for a Power Five team. That’ll show itself in this game against an Oregon team that has elite level athletes up and down the roster.
Oregon -11.5 -110 (1 unit)