College Football Picks Week 15

Week 1: +1.82 units

Week 2: +9.9 units

Week 3: +5.37 units

Week 4: +12.84 units

Week 5: +5.54 units

Week 6: +0.14 units

Week 7: -3.60 units

Week 8: -4.13 units

Week 9: -1.01 units

Week 10: -3.68 units

Week 11: +3.41 units

Week 12: -3.09 units

Week 13: +3.74 units

Week 14: +1.67 units

Season: +28.92 units

A solid week, I went 3-1 on all 1 unit picks. Florida Atlantic disappointed me with a blowout loss to Georgia Southern, while Air Force, Louisiana Tech and Coastal Carolina covered easily.

Minnesota @ Nebraska (Saturday 11 AM Central)

Minnesota is a tough team to evaluate as they have had their last two games canceled due to COVID. Still, their results are in line with a mediocre Big Ten team, with wins over Illinois and Purdue. Nebraska got a good result against Purdue last week, but I think they’re only slightly better than Minnesota and this line should definitely be in the single digits.

Minnesota +11 -113 (2 units)

Minnesota ML +285 (1 unit)

Virginia @ Virginia Tech (Saturday 7 PM Central)

Virginia snuck up on me- they’re sitting in the top 40 of my ratings now, and have rattled off 4 straight wins after a 1-4 start, including solid wins over North Carolina and Boston College, Virginia Tech is unlucky to be 4-6, but they have really fallen off a cliff the past two weeks. Virginia should be a small favorite here.

Virginia +2.5 -109 (2 units)

UNLV @ Hawai’i

UNLV is looking like the worst team in the Mountain West, as they’re 0-5 with all 5 losses by double digits. However, I think Hawai’i is worse than every team they’ve played so far this year. The Rainbow Warriors boast a nice win over Nevada, but this is a pretty massive spread for an unproven Hawai’i team.

UNLV +20.5 -109 (2 units)

UNLV ML +700 (0.5 units)

Louisiana Tech @ TCU (Saturday 6 PM Central)

TCU has had an up and down season with wins over Texas and Oklahoma State but frustrating losses to Kansas State and West Virginia. Louisiana Tech is a little lucky to be 5-3 with some close wins, but they’re still an average G5 team and this line should be closer to two touchdowns.

Louisiana Tech +21.5 -110 (1 unit)

Central Michigan @ Toledo (Saturday 2 PM Central)

Toledo has been pretty overvalued throughout the season, I bet against them when they were playing Ball State two weeks ago and Ball State ML hit at +265. I think the Rockets are a bit too high in Vegas’ eyes- I have them as the 6th best team in the MAC. Central Michigan is not that much worse and this number should be single digits.

Central Michigan +11.5 -113 (1 unit)

Georgia @ Missouri (Saturday 11 AM Central)

Missouri has clawed into the CFP top 25, which is quite impressive for a team that I had pegged near the bottom of the SEC in the preseason. Georgia has looked frighteningly mediocre in the last few weeks, and shouldn’t be getting two touchdowns on the road against a competent opponent.

Missouri +13.5 -110 (1 unit)

Minnesota, UNLV ML Parlay +2980 (0.1 units)