College Football Picks Week 13 2022
Last week was a tough one. Pitt (-7.5) was driving late up 8 and failed to pick up a fourth down, and then failed to cover. Temple came close to covering +17.5 but lost by 20. The only pick I hit was Kansas State, who won easily at West Virginia.
A few of my preseason bets settled this week. USC under 9.5 wins had about a 20% chance of hitting but the Trojans picked up their 10th win against UCLA. Thankfully, they only won by 3 so my UCLA +3.5 bet from the preseason hit. I got some extremely fortunate results elsewhere- Florida under 7 wins looked like a push but the Gators shockingly lost to Vanderbilt, so they will head into the Florida State game at 6-5. Similarly, UCF under 8.5 wins remains alive after a shock loss to Navy.
Oklahoma @ Texas Tech (Saturday, 6:30 PM Central)
I’ve been a buyer of Texas Tech all year and am continuing to do so here. The Red Raiders have been an awesome team to watch with incredible fourth down aggression and a great win over Texas early in the season. Oklahoma has recovered from their mid season slump but the Sooners are still a middle of the pack Big 12 team at best. I like Texas Tech to win outright here.
Texas Tech +2 -110 (3 units)
West Virginia @ Oklahoma State (Saturday, 11 AM Central)
This is the rare case where I bet against a team one week and am betting on them the next week. I hit on Kansas State -7.5 against West Virginia last week but am on the Mountaineers here. I think Oklahoma State has been overvalued for a while, they lost in OT to TCU but have since gotten pretty injured and got torn to pieces by Kansas State. My numbers actually say that these are the two worst teams in the conference, and OK State is better but not by as much as the line suggests.
West Virginia +8.5 -110 (2 units)
West Virginia ML +255 (1 unit)
Auburn @ Alabama (Saturday, 2:30 PM Central)
Auburn is another team that I’ve been high on all season and I’ll continue to buy them here. I’ve been very impressed with the Tigers under interim HC Cadillac Williams- they trounced a good WKU team last week, beat Auburn in a rockfight and nearly beat Mississippi State. I think the TIgers are around the 40th best team in the country and it’s hard to justify a 3 touchdown spread in that case.
Auburn +22 -110 (2 units)
Syracuse @ Boston College (Saturday, 6:30 PM Central)
Syracuse started 6-0 but the bottom has fallen out of their season as they are now 6-5 and the rumors are swirling around Dino Babers’ job. Boston College has had a lost season but I’ve been able to buy them in some nice spots, like when they beat NC State as a +750 underdog a few weeks ago. I’m going to do so again here- I think people are too fixated on Syracuse’s hot start, their true talent level has come to the surface in recent weeks.
Boston College +10.5 -110 (1 unit)