Men’s Bracketology 2/19/2025
It’s been almost a week since I updated my bracketology- I’ve been travelling in the past week- so there’s a lot of changes in this update. Some of the most impactful changes are:
BYU has been on the bubble or outside the field all season and is now very likely to make the tournament after back to back wins over Kansas State and Kansas. They dominated the Jayhawks by 34 last night and their predictive metrics are now in the low 30s.
TCU has come out of absolutely nowhere to swoop into my First Four Out. It goes to show how weak the underside of this bubble is that the Horned Frogs are in contention- but as winners of 5 of 6, including a huge Q1A win over Texas Tech last night, they are in the thick of things.
The bubble is very weak this year and the middle of the bracket is very strong. The first 38 or so teams on my seed list (my 1-9 seeds, Ohio State and BYU) are all exceedingly likely to make the field. There is a big gulf between those teams and the rest of the seed list.