Men’s Bracketology 2/10/2025

This is a historically weak bubble. I spent a long time debating who to give my last at-large spot to in this update, and the options are not pretty. I went with Arkansas because their trio of Q1-A wins (Michigan, @Kentucky, @Texas) are better than what anyone else on the bubble has done. Here’s a brief rundown of some of the other contenders:

North Carolina: 1-9 in Q1, already has 10 losses in a weak ACC

SMU: Best win is @ NC State

BYU: 5-8 vs. Q1 and Q2

It’s not a pretty picture.

Last year the bubble was looking weak in February and ended up becoming very strong after an unprecedented 4 bid stealers emerged in conference tournaments. We could see the same thing happen again this year- the American and Missouri Valley look like particularly likely leagues to produce a bid stealers this year.