Bracketology 2/18/2021

The bubble picture is starting to clear up a bit. I would say that the teams on the 1 through 9 lines can feel pretty good about their tournament bids (>80% to make the field). Similarly, any team beyond the Next Four Out is probably <20% to make the tournament. That leaves 20 teams for 12 spots. While there will be a surprise or two, those 20 teams are the ones we can expect to see hanging out on the bubble on Selection Sunday.

1: Gonzaga, Baylor, Michigan, Ohio State

2: Illinois, Alabama, Houston, Villanova

3: Oklahoma, Virginia, Iowa, West Virginia

4: Texas Tech, Tennessee, Florida State, Texas

5: USC, Kansas, Wisconsin, Creighton

6: Purdue, Arkansas, Clemson, Rutgers

7: Missouri, Virginia Tech, Colorado, BYU

8: Oklahoma State, Louisville, LSU, Loyola Chicago

9: Florida, VCU, Xavier, UCLA

10: San Diego State, Minnesota, Drake, Indiana

11: Seton Hall, Boise State, Oregon, Colorado State

12: (North Carolina/Maryland), (St. Bonaventure/Connecticut), Western Kentucky, Belmont

13: Toledo, Wright State, Winthrop, Colgate

14: UC Santa Barbara, Grand Canyon, Abilene Christian, UNC Greensboro

15: Liberty, South Dakota, Vermont, Eastern Washington

16: Siena, Bryant, (Texas State/Northeastern), (Norfolk State/Prairie View A&M)

First Four Out: Mississippi, Stanford, SMU, Saint Louis

Next Four Out: Utah State, Memphis, Richmond, Wichita State

Moving In: Connecticut

Moving Out: Utah State

Bids by Conference:

Big Ten: 10

Big 12: 7

ACC: 6

SEC: 6

Big East: 5

Pac-12: 4

Mountain West: 3

Atlantic 10: 2

Missouri Valley: 2

West Coast: 2