Bracketology 1/20/2024

Over the course of the season we’re seeing a lot of teams that overperformed their predictive metrics regress a bit. Just this week, Memphis took a Q4 loss to South Florida while South Carolina and Ole Miss both lost to mediocre SEC teams. Now I’m waiting for the other side of the coin- teams like Xavier and Michigan State that have underperformed their per-possession stats picking up some wins.

1: Purdue, Connecticut, Kansas, Houston

2: North Carolina, Arizona, Tennessee, Auburn

3: Dayton, Baylor, Duke, Kentucky

4: Wisconsin, BYU, Marquette, Illinois

5: Alabama, Colorado State, San Diego State, Oklahoma

6: Clemson, Creighton, Utah State, Memphis

7: Florida Atlantic, Seton Hall, Iowa State, St. John’s

8: Grand Canyon, Ole Miss, Texas A&M, Villanova

9: Colorado, Cincinnati, Nebraska, South Carolina

10: Texas Tech, Utah, Princeton, Nevada

11: TCU, New Mexico, Northwestern, (Michigan State/Oregon)

12: (Mississippi State/Ohio State), Indiana State, James Madison, St. Mary’s

13: McNeese State, Samford, Charleston, UC Irvine

14: Akron, Louisiana Tech, Morehead State, Montana

15: High Point, Quinnipiac, Vermont, Oakland

16: Southern, Stetson, (Colgate/NC Central), (Denver/Central Connecticut)

First Four Out: Indiana State, Miami (FL), Boise State, Washington State

Next Four Out: James Madison, St. Mary’s, Georgia, Kansas State

Also Considered: NC State, Syracuse, Wake Forest, Gonzaga, San Francisco, Providence, Texas, Butler

Moving In: New Mexico, Ohio State

Moving Out: Miami (FL), Boise State

Bids by Conference:

Big 12: 9

SEC: 8

Big East: 7

Big Ten: 7

Mountain West: 4

Pac-12: 4

ACC: 3

American: 2