Bracketology 10/10/20

With college basketball season about six weeks away, my first bracketology of the year is here. With schedules still not set for most teams, there’s a lot of guesswork that went into these projections. Still, the correlation between the preseason bracket and the committee’s selections in March is stronger than you might think. Of the 45 at-large teams I have here, my guess is that around 30 or 35 of them will actually make the tournament in March.

1: Baylor, Gonzaga, Virginia, Wisconsin

2: Kansas, Villanova, West Virginia, Duke

3: Illinois, Texas, Florida, Michigan State

4: Creighton, Tennessee, Iowa, Texas Tech

5: Oregon, Houston, Florida State, Ohio State

6: North Carolina, Arizona State, Michigan, Saint Louis

7: Kentucky, Miami (FL), Louisville, Syracuse

8: Rutgers, Oklahoma, Indiana, Providence

9: Purdue, Richmond, Memphis, Alabama

10: UCLA, Kansas State, Stanford, Mississippi

11: Loyola Chicago, Penn State, Western Kentucky, (Washington/Connecticut)

12: (BYU/Seton Hall), San Diego State, UNC Greensboro, Vermont

13: New Mexico State, Yale, South Dakota State, Georgia State

14: Murray State, Wright State, Abilene Christian, Bowling Green

15: Montana, UC Irvine, Siena, Winthrop

16: Delaware, Liberty, (Colgate/Norfolk State), (Southern/Fairleigh Dickinson)

Last Four In: Washington, BYU, Seton Hall, Connecticut

First Four Out: Minnesota, Arizona, Northern Iowa, Missouri

Next Four Out: LSU, Arkansas, Maryland, Marquette

Bids by Conference:

Big Ten: 10

ACC: 7

Big 12: 7

Big East: 5

Pac-12: 5

SEC: 5

American: 2

Atlantic 10: 2

WCC: 2