2024-25 Preseason Bracketology

For a long time I thought that preseason bracketology was a bit of a crapshoot. However, the last two years have changed my mind on that. Consider these stats from recent years:

-In each of the last two years, 15 of the 16 teams I gave top 4 seeds to in the preseason ended up making the tournament. Of my preseason top 16 last year, 12 of them ended up in the actual 16, including all four eventual 1 seeds.

-26 of the 32 teams that I gave top 8 seeds to last preseason ended up making the tournament. The biggest miss was USC, who flamed out with Isaiah Collier and Bronny James.

-Every team that got a top 5 seed in the tournament appeared in my preseason bracket.

If you don’t see your favorite team in this projection, don’t fret- they can still make the tournament. However, the track record for teams getting top seeds after starting far off the preseason radar is quite poor in recent years.

Without further ado, here is my preseason projection for this year. My next update will come in November around the time of the Thanksgiving tournaments.