College Football Picks Week 13 2023
Last week was mixed, Coastal Carolina really disappointed me while I had some easy covers elsewhere on New Mexico and Arizona. The week could’ve been amazing if I thought to play New Mexico ML but it was so much of a long shot I didn’t bother.
Preseason: +8.21 units
Week 0: +0.82 units
Week 1: -7.37 units
Week 2: -2.83 units
Week 3: -0.59 units
Week 4: -5.31 units
Week 5: +6.21 units
Week 6: -0.18 units
Week 7: +0.55 units
Week 8: -5.09 units
Week 9: -1.1 units
Week 10: +6.09 units
Week 11: +2.33 units
Week 12: -1.01 units
Total: +0.73 units
Kansas @ Cincinnati (Saturday, 6:30 PM Central)
Kansas will drop out of the rankings after their loss to Kansas State last weekend, but this is still a banner year for the Jayhawks. They’ve been playing with a second or third string QB all year and have established themselves as a fringe top 25 outfit. Cincinnati, meanwhile, does not have a pulse. This line should be in the low double digits. Amazingly, it opened at 3, but was up to this number by the time I could bet it. Kansas is my favorite play of the week.
Kansas -6 -110 (4 units)
BYU @ Oklahoma State (Saturday, 2:30 PM Central)
I’ve been lower on Oklahoma State than the consensus for some time now but have not had an opportunity to bet against them yet. I’m taking it here- the Cowboys have completely disappeared in two separate losses this season (South Alabama and UCF) and have had some pretty good close game luck. BYU is also worse than their record but I don’t think a Power Five team with a pulse should be this big of an underdog to an OK State squad that ranks around 40th.
BYU +17.5 -110 (3 units)
Kentucky @ Louisville (Saturday, 11 AM Central)
I’ve been a buyer of Louisville for a few weeks now, and my Louisville to win the ACC +300 bet from last week is looking quite good in the wake of Florida State QB Jordan Travis’ injury. I’ll pile on more exposure on the Cardinals here- they have a lot of impressive wins over decent teams like Miami and Virginia Tech. Kentucky is the same plodding Kentucky team you know and love, but without any freak athletes like Josh Allen (the DE, not the QB) or Lynn Bowden. Louisville should roll here.
Louisville -7 -110 (3 units)
Arizona @ Arizona State (Saturday, 2:30 PM Central)
This is another line I’m upset about- I saw this open at the single digits at Circa but it was bid up to the low double digits by the time I got a chance at it. Arizona has been my second most profitable team of the year behind New Mexico State and I will ride the Wildcats again here. Arizona State was pulverized by Oregon last week and nearly lost to a bad FCS team in Southern Utah earlier this season. Arizona has an outside shot at the Pac-12 title game and will dominate their in-state rivals here.
Arizona -12.5 -110 (2 units)
Indiana @ Purdue (Saturday, 11 AM Central)
Purdue is one of the best 3-8 teams I’ve seen. The Boilermakers have a handful of close losses and scored a big win for me against Minnesota a few weeks ago. I like them once again here- they have far more talent than Indiana, especially on the line of scrimmage. Tom Allen may be coaching for his job as Indiana HC but I think he’ll come up short here.
Purdue -2.5 -110 (2 units)
Utah State @ New Mexico (Friday, 2:30 PM Central)
New Mexico won outright last week as a 24 point underdog, and I’m really annoyed with myself for not betting on their moneyline at +2000. The Lobos have turned things around and are now a bottom 10 outfit in FBS as opposed to a bottom 5 one. Utah State has been overrated all season and I’m happy to fade them here.
New Mexico +8.5 -110 (2 units)